This is a mission task. The goal is the survival of humanity.
WARNING: This task is not complete. It has no tasks below it and no expected value. Do not use this task for a comparison of values.
Toby Ord estimates the probability of an existential catastrophe in this century at approximately 1 in 6. The largest part is unaligned artificial intelligence at approximately 1 in 10. Engineered pandemics are approximately 1 in 30. Nuclear war is approximately 1 in 1,000.
An extinction event sets the value of every other mission task to zero. This task therefore multiplies the other mission tasks. It does not compete with them.
Add a task below this task if the task decreases one of these probabilities. Give the cost of the task and the effect of the task. Optimitron then calculates an expected value.