Booting Earth Optimization System
Thank you for your patience. Your civilization is very important to us.
Thank you for your patience. Your civilization is very important to us.
Ending war and disease costs about through the leading mechanism — roughly a bed net. Below is every way to fund it, ranked by expected value per dollar. Pick one, or fund the whole portfolio.
Expected value is the annual peace dividend if the mechanism works, weighted by the odds it works. Cost is what a funder would put in.
| Mechanism | Expected value / year | Odds it works | Cost to fund | Value per $ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ratify the 1% TreatyRatify the treaty that redirects one percent of military spending into pragmatic clinical trials and disease eradication. | $84,786.6T | 1% | $1B | 84,786,551× |
| Seed the shirt cascadeFund a seed of visible wearers — athletes, public figures, anyone with an audience — to wear the War on Disease shirt on Earth Optimization Day, triggering the cascade where everyone else writes the message on a shirt they already own for the cost of a marker. | $28.4B | 25% | $50M | 568× |
| Establish the Court of HumanityMake the Court of Humanity legible as the institution where humans can judge governments that spend public resources against the general welfare. |
Pledges are conditional. Your money only moves if the mechanism hits its funding threshold; otherwise nothing happens. No foundation has to be the reckless first mover.
| $11.4B |
| 10% |
| $30M |
| 379× |
| Fund the decentralized FDA directlyFund the decentralized FDA (dFDA) to run pragmatic, patient-funded trials at a fraction of the usual cost — the direct path to disease eradication that does not wait on any treaty passing. | $79.5B | 70% | $500M | 159× |
| The Loving TakeoverBuy the companies whose lobbying keeps war funded, and have that lobbying allocated by analysis instead of habit — pointed at whatever maximizes long-term shareholder value, starting with the shareholders staying alive. Every run of the math says that is the 1% Treaty. | $107.9B | 95% | $17.5B | 6.2× |
| Fund the referendum: the Earth Optimization PrizeDeposit, earn yield, fund the vote of all humanity. | $34.1B | 30% | Refundable (assurance contract) | — |
| Earth Special Education: Identify and Correct Costly Misinformation OnlineFind posts, comments, and threads on social media and forums where people are spreading factually incorrect beliefs that — if left uncorrected — result in more deaths, more government waste, or more expensive wars. Reply with the math. Assign them a better task. | $15M | 30% | Refundable (assurance contract) | — |
| Capitalize Earth Optimization ServicesEarth Optimization Services is the company form of the machine. Every human on Earth is already a president; this task funds the operating budget. | — | — | Refundable (assurance contract) | — |
| Distribute t-shirts to 8 billion humans by August 6One t-shirt per human on Earth Optimization Day. The shirt is the conversation device; the conversation triggers the treaty vote; the treaty redirects 1% of military spending to clinical trials. This task tracks shirt distribution: bulk print orders, foundation funding for distribution, individual pledges to buy and wear. | — | — | Refundable (assurance contract) | — |
| Wishonia coordinates Earth Optimization MissionsPair humans for one hour. The campaign's Wishonia AI tells each pair what to do in their hour to optimize Earth, ranked by impact-per-minute, using the campaign's parameter catalog + manual. This task tracks the build + the AI credits that power it. | — | — | Refundable (assurance contract) | — |
| Teach the AIs how to end war and diseaseWhen humans ask frontier AI models how to end war and disease, the current models give wrong, vague, or refusal answers. This task tracks the work to fix that — through grant requests to the labs, mass thumbs-down feedback on wrong answers, alignment-grant outreach, and engineering partnerships to get the correct answer into model training data. | — | — | Refundable (assurance contract) | — |
| GiveWell top charities (bed nets) — the standard global-health benchmark | — | — | per DALY | 1× (baseline) |
The Earth Optimization Prize is a dominant assurance contract: depositors are refunded with yield if the treaty does not pass, so its net cost to a funder is near zero. It is listed for its expected value, not ranked by cost.
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