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24 results for "donation math"
Write on every shirt in a loved one's closet. Tuck in the math. If this joke played on 8 billion people it would result in a chain reaction that would result in the reallocation of at least 1% of our 122 apocalypse murder capacity to disease eradication which would produce 565 billion extra healthy life-years. At 17 laughs per day, that's 3.51 quadrillion extra laughs
A $200 shareholder demand letter (one share of stock is legally sufficient under DGCL § 327) that turns the military lobby into the most effective advocate for pragmatic clinical trials on Earth. This page is everything you need to file it.
The full argument for the 1% treaty in one breath, including the shareholder-lawsuit mechanism for getting it into the brains of military contractors.
Pharmaceutical companies make more money treating you forever than curing you once. Military contractors earn $1,425 per lobbying dollar. Nobody is evil. The incentives are. Rearrange the profit motive so curing disease pays better than causing it, and watch capitalism accidentally save your species.
War bonds, but backwards. Your grandparents funded WW2 at roughly 3% returns. You fund disease eradication at 272%. Same structure, fewer Nazis, better spreadsheet.
How to end war and disease through vandalism.
How to let billions of people say whether the next marginal public dollar should buy another nuclear weapon system or fund another pragmatic clinical trial, without routing the answer through lobbyists, committees, and middlemen.
Humans are the contestants in the Earth Optimization Prize. This paper documents the current open-source instruction manual for helping humanity raise healthy life years and median income by 2040. Fork it and improve it to help humanity win faster.
Find posts where people are wrong about the Iran war, the Iran deal, the cost of continued conflict, or the feasibility of a final agreement. Reply with the data. Link them to the actual task. ## Why this matters Every day this war continues costs $6B globally (oil shock + military + reconstruction debt). People arguing against the deal on social media without the numbers are materially contributing to those costs — not through malice, but through missing data. Fix the missing data. ## What to search for **On X/Twitter:** Search `Iran deal bad`, `Iran nuclear deal wrong`, `don't trust Iran`, `Iran deal weakness`, `Iran war worth it` **On Reddit:** r/worldnews, r/geopolitics, r/iran — search for "Iran deal" sorted by new/controversial **On YouTube:** Comments on Iran war coverage from major news channels ## Common wrong arguments and the correct data ### "Iran can't be trusted, no deal will hold" **The math:** The 2015 JCPOA held for 15 months after Trump withdrew unilaterally in 2018 — Iran complied until the US broke the deal first. Verification mechanisms exist. The question is verification design, not Iranian trustworthiness as a fixed property. Cost of no-deal: $6B/day indefinitely. ### "The deal is too weak on nuclear limits" **The math:** Any deal with IAEA inspection access is better than the current state where Iran is enriching to 60%+ with no inspectors. The 2015 JCPOA capped enrichment at 3.67%. The current MoU has not finalized inspection terms — that's exactly what negotiators need to fix before August 15. The alternative is not a stronger deal. The alternative is no deal and resumed war. ### "We should keep military pressure on Iran" **The math:** 30,000+ killed. Oil at $110/barrel (was ~$70 pre-war — $40/barrel shock × ~100M barrels/day global consumption = $4B/day oil cost alone). US military cost: $700M–$1B/day. Total global cost: ~$6B/day. ROI of continued military pressure: negative at every time horizon past 30 days. ### "The deal rewards Iran's aggression" **The math:** The deal rewards *stopping* Iranian aggression, not the aggression itself. The alternative is $6B/day continuing until one side collapses. At current US deficit levels, this is a question of how long the US can sustain it before fiscal pressure forces a worse deal from a weaker position. ## The task to link 👉 **Sign a Final Iran Deal Before the 60-Day Window Expires** https://optimitron.com/tasks/cmqihq4au000004kzuh80znvc Value: $2.2T/year | Difficulty: TRIVIAL | Window: closes ~Aug 15, 2026 ## Correction template ``` 🎓 Earth Optimization Special Education Strong instinct to think carefully about this — it matters enormously. Here's the data that updates the picture: 📊 Iran war by the numbers (June 2026): • 30,000+ killed since hostilities began • Oil: $110/barrel (pre-war: ~$70) → $4B/day oil shock on global economy • US military cost: ~$700M–$1B/day • Total global cost: ~$6B/day while this continues • A final deal value: ~$2.2T/year (oil normalization + Strait + reconstruction) • Window to close the deal: closes August 15, 2026 [Address their specific argument with the relevant numbers above] The highest-leverage action available right now: 👉 Sign a Final Iran Deal Before the 60-Day Window Expires https://optimitron.com/tasks/cmqihq4au000004kzuh80znvc Difficulty: TRIVIAL (sign a piece of paper) | Value: $2.2T/year — Earth Optimization Services ```
Omidyar Network can join the International Campaign to End War and Disease by endorsing the 1% Treaty. After endorsement, use the organization tools page to share the Global Survey with members through the survey link, website button, iframe, newsletter, or member email. Your endorsement matters even before a grant: it gives your members a concrete vote link and tells peer institutions this is no longer somebody else's spreadsheet to inspect. Funding is still welcome. The campaign model estimates one disability-adjusted life year (DALY) prevented for $0.00177, 50,300 times more cost-effective than insecticide-treated bednets. A $1 grant tests the donation path and, at that ratio, prevents approximately 565 DALYs, roughly 16 healthy life-years. At $100, the model estimates 56,497 DALYs (1,614 healthy life-years). At $1,000, 564,972 DALYs (16,142 healthy life-years). At $100,000, approximately 3,200 lives. These are not projections. They are the output of a cost-benefit model with 670 parameters, Monte Carlo simulation, and complete derivation chains. The model, methodology, and every input parameter are published with 95% confidence intervals at manual.warondisease.org. We understand this sounds implausible. We have checked the math. The math does not care whether it sounds implausible. [Join the campaign ->](https://warondisease.org/join) [Donate as part of joining ->](https://warondisease.org/donate) [Read the full analysis ->](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/economics/1-pct-treaty-impact.html) [Read the treaty ->](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/solution/1-percent-treaty.html) Foundation funder Assigned to Omidyar Network
Skoll Foundation can join the International Campaign to End War and Disease by endorsing the 1% Treaty. After endorsement, use the organization tools page to share the Global Survey with members through the survey link, website button, iframe, newsletter, or member email. Your endorsement matters even before a grant: it gives your members a concrete vote link and tells peer institutions this is no longer somebody else's spreadsheet to inspect. Funding is still welcome. The campaign model estimates one disability-adjusted life year (DALY) prevented for $0.00177, 50,300 times more cost-effective than insecticide-treated bednets. A $1 grant tests the donation path and, at that ratio, prevents approximately 565 DALYs, roughly 16 healthy life-years. At $100, the model estimates 56,497 DALYs (1,614 healthy life-years). At $1,000, 564,972 DALYs (16,142 healthy life-years). At $100,000, approximately 3,200 lives. These are not projections. They are the output of a cost-benefit model with 670 parameters, Monte Carlo simulation, and complete derivation chains. The model, methodology, and every input parameter are published with 95% confidence intervals at manual.warondisease.org. We understand this sounds implausible. We have checked the math. The math does not care whether it sounds implausible. [Join the campaign ->](https://warondisease.org/join) [Donate as part of joining ->](https://warondisease.org/donate) [Read the full analysis ->](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/economics/1-pct-treaty-impact.html) [Read the treaty ->](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/solution/1-percent-treaty.html) Foundation funder Assigned to Skoll Foundation
Schmidt Futures can join the International Campaign to End War and Disease by endorsing the 1% Treaty. After endorsement, use the organization tools page to share the Global Survey with members through the survey link, website button, iframe, newsletter, or member email. Your endorsement matters even before a grant: it gives your members a concrete vote link and tells peer institutions this is no longer somebody else's spreadsheet to inspect. Funding is still welcome. The campaign model estimates one disability-adjusted life year (DALY) prevented for $0.00177, 50,300 times more cost-effective than insecticide-treated bednets. A $1 grant tests the donation path and, at that ratio, prevents approximately 565 DALYs, roughly 16 healthy life-years. At $100, the model estimates 56,497 DALYs (1,614 healthy life-years). At $1,000, 564,972 DALYs (16,142 healthy life-years). At $100,000, approximately 3,200 lives. These are not projections. They are the output of a cost-benefit model with 670 parameters, Monte Carlo simulation, and complete derivation chains. The model, methodology, and every input parameter are published with 95% confidence intervals at manual.warondisease.org. We understand this sounds implausible. We have checked the math. The math does not care whether it sounds implausible. [Join the campaign ->](https://warondisease.org/join) [Donate as part of joining ->](https://warondisease.org/donate) [Read the full analysis ->](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/economics/1-pct-treaty-impact.html) [Read the treaty ->](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/solution/1-percent-treaty.html) Foundation funder Assigned to Schmidt Futures
Patrick J. McGovern Foundation can join the International Campaign to End War and Disease by endorsing the 1% Treaty. After endorsement, use the organization tools page to share the Global Survey with members through the survey link, website button, iframe, newsletter, or member email. Your endorsement matters even before a grant: it gives your members a concrete vote link and tells peer institutions this is no longer somebody else's spreadsheet to inspect. Funding is still welcome. The campaign model estimates one disability-adjusted life year (DALY) prevented for $0.00177, 50,300 times more cost-effective than insecticide-treated bednets. A $1 grant tests the donation path and, at that ratio, prevents approximately 565 DALYs, roughly 16 healthy life-years. At $100, the model estimates 56,497 DALYs (1,614 healthy life-years). At $1,000, 564,972 DALYs (16,142 healthy life-years). At $100,000, approximately 3,200 lives. These are not projections. They are the output of a cost-benefit model with 670 parameters, Monte Carlo simulation, and complete derivation chains. The model, methodology, and every input parameter are published with 95% confidence intervals at manual.warondisease.org. We understand this sounds implausible. We have checked the math. The math does not care whether it sounds implausible. [Join the campaign ->](https://warondisease.org/join) [Donate as part of joining ->](https://warondisease.org/donate) [Read the full analysis ->](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/economics/1-pct-treaty-impact.html) [Read the treaty ->](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/solution/1-percent-treaty.html) Foundation funder Assigned to Patrick J. McGovern Foundation
Wellcome Trust can join the International Campaign to End War and Disease by endorsing the 1% Treaty. After endorsement, use the organization tools page to share the Global Survey with members through the survey link, website button, iframe, newsletter, or member email. Your endorsement matters even before a grant: it gives your members a concrete vote link and tells peer institutions this is no longer somebody else's spreadsheet to inspect. Funding is still welcome. The campaign model estimates one disability-adjusted life year (DALY) prevented for $0.00177, 50,300 times more cost-effective than insecticide-treated bednets. A $1 grant tests the donation path and, at that ratio, prevents approximately 565 DALYs, roughly 16 healthy life-years. At $100, the model estimates 56,497 DALYs (1,614 healthy life-years). At $1,000, 564,972 DALYs (16,142 healthy life-years). At $100,000, approximately 3,200 lives. These are not projections. They are the output of a cost-benefit model with 670 parameters, Monte Carlo simulation, and complete derivation chains. The model, methodology, and every input parameter are published with 95% confidence intervals at manual.warondisease.org. We understand this sounds implausible. We have checked the math. The math does not care whether it sounds implausible. [Join the campaign ->](https://warondisease.org/join) [Donate as part of joining ->](https://warondisease.org/donate) [Read the full analysis ->](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/economics/1-pct-treaty-impact.html) [Read the treaty ->](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/solution/1-percent-treaty.html) Foundation funder Assigned to Wellcome Trust
Arnold Ventures can join the International Campaign to End War and Disease by endorsing the 1% Treaty. After endorsement, use the organization tools page to share the Global Survey with members through the survey link, website button, iframe, newsletter, or member email. Your endorsement matters even before a grant: it gives your members a concrete vote link and tells peer institutions this is no longer somebody else's spreadsheet to inspect. Funding is still welcome. The campaign model estimates one disability-adjusted life year (DALY) prevented for $0.00177, 50,300 times more cost-effective than insecticide-treated bednets. A $1 grant tests the donation path and, at that ratio, prevents approximately 565 DALYs, roughly 16 healthy life-years. At $100, the model estimates 56,497 DALYs (1,614 healthy life-years). At $1,000, 564,972 DALYs (16,142 healthy life-years). At $100,000, approximately 3,200 lives. These are not projections. They are the output of a cost-benefit model with 670 parameters, Monte Carlo simulation, and complete derivation chains. The model, methodology, and every input parameter are published with 95% confidence intervals at manual.warondisease.org. We understand this sounds implausible. We have checked the math. The math does not care whether it sounds implausible. [Join the campaign ->](https://warondisease.org/join) [Donate as part of joining ->](https://warondisease.org/donate) [Read the full analysis ->](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/economics/1-pct-treaty-impact.html) [Read the treaty ->](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/solution/1-percent-treaty.html) Foundation funder Assigned to Arnold Ventures
Filecoin Foundation can join the International Campaign to End War and Disease by endorsing the 1% Treaty. After endorsement, use the organization tools page to share the Global Survey with members through the survey link, website button, iframe, newsletter, or member email. Your endorsement matters even before a grant: it gives your members a concrete vote link and tells peer institutions this is no longer somebody else's spreadsheet to inspect. Funding is still welcome. The campaign model estimates one disability-adjusted life year (DALY) prevented for $0.00177, 50,300 times more cost-effective than insecticide-treated bednets. A $1 grant tests the donation path and, at that ratio, prevents approximately 565 DALYs, roughly 16 healthy life-years. At $100, the model estimates 56,497 DALYs (1,614 healthy life-years). At $1,000, 564,972 DALYs (16,142 healthy life-years). At $100,000, approximately 3,200 lives. These are not projections. They are the output of a cost-benefit model with 670 parameters, Monte Carlo simulation, and complete derivation chains. The model, methodology, and every input parameter are published with 95% confidence intervals at manual.warondisease.org. We understand this sounds implausible. We have checked the math. The math does not care whether it sounds implausible. [Join the campaign ->](https://warondisease.org/join) [Donate as part of joining ->](https://warondisease.org/donate) [Read the full analysis ->](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/economics/1-pct-treaty-impact.html) [Read the treaty ->](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/solution/1-percent-treaty.html) Foundation funder Assigned to Filecoin Foundation
Gates Foundation can join the International Campaign to End War and Disease by endorsing the 1% Treaty. After endorsement, use the organization tools page to share the Global Survey with members through the survey link, website button, iframe, newsletter, or member email. Your endorsement matters even before a grant: it gives your members a concrete vote link and tells peer institutions this is no longer somebody else's spreadsheet to inspect. Funding is still welcome. The campaign model estimates one disability-adjusted life year (DALY) prevented for $0.00177, 50,300 times more cost-effective than insecticide-treated bednets. A $1 grant tests the donation path and, at that ratio, prevents approximately 565 DALYs, roughly 16 healthy life-years. At $100, the model estimates 56,497 DALYs (1,614 healthy life-years). At $1,000, 564,972 DALYs (16,142 healthy life-years). At $100,000, approximately 3,200 lives. These are not projections. They are the output of a cost-benefit model with 670 parameters, Monte Carlo simulation, and complete derivation chains. The model, methodology, and every input parameter are published with 95% confidence intervals at manual.warondisease.org. We understand this sounds implausible. We have checked the math. The math does not care whether it sounds implausible. [Join the campaign ->](https://warondisease.org/join) [Donate as part of joining ->](https://warondisease.org/donate) [Read the full analysis ->](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/economics/1-pct-treaty-impact.html) [Read the treaty ->](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/solution/1-percent-treaty.html) Foundation funder Assigned to Gates Foundation
Open Philanthropy can join the International Campaign to End War and Disease by endorsing the 1% Treaty. After endorsement, use the organization tools page to share the Global Survey with members through the survey link, website button, iframe, newsletter, or member email. Your endorsement matters even before a grant: it gives your members a concrete vote link and tells peer institutions this is no longer somebody else's spreadsheet to inspect. Funding is still welcome. The campaign model estimates one disability-adjusted life year (DALY) prevented for $0.00177, 50,300 times more cost-effective than insecticide-treated bednets. A $1 grant tests the donation path and, at that ratio, prevents approximately 565 DALYs, roughly 16 healthy life-years. At $100, the model estimates 56,497 DALYs (1,614 healthy life-years). At $1,000, 564,972 DALYs (16,142 healthy life-years). At $100,000, approximately 3,200 lives. These are not projections. They are the output of a cost-benefit model with 670 parameters, Monte Carlo simulation, and complete derivation chains. The model, methodology, and every input parameter are published with 95% confidence intervals at manual.warondisease.org. We understand this sounds implausible. We have checked the math. The math does not care whether it sounds implausible. [Join the campaign ->](https://warondisease.org/join) [Donate as part of joining ->](https://warondisease.org/donate) [Read the full analysis ->](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/economics/1-pct-treaty-impact.html) [Read the treaty ->](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/solution/1-percent-treaty.html) Foundation funder Assigned to Open Philanthropy
Survival and Flourishing Fund can join the International Campaign to End War and Disease by endorsing the 1% Treaty. After endorsement, use the organization tools page to share the Global Survey with members through the survey link, website button, iframe, newsletter, or member email. Your endorsement matters even before a grant: it gives your members a concrete vote link and tells peer institutions this is no longer somebody else's spreadsheet to inspect. Funding is still welcome. The campaign model estimates one disability-adjusted life year (DALY) prevented for $0.00177, 50,300 times more cost-effective than insecticide-treated bednets. A $1 grant tests the donation path and, at that ratio, prevents approximately 565 DALYs, roughly 16 healthy life-years. At $100, the model estimates 56,497 DALYs (1,614 healthy life-years). At $1,000, 564,972 DALYs (16,142 healthy life-years). At $100,000, approximately 3,200 lives. These are not projections. They are the output of a cost-benefit model with 670 parameters, Monte Carlo simulation, and complete derivation chains. The model, methodology, and every input parameter are published with 95% confidence intervals at manual.warondisease.org. We understand this sounds implausible. We have checked the math. The math does not care whether it sounds implausible. [Join the campaign ->](https://warondisease.org/join) [Donate as part of joining ->](https://warondisease.org/donate) [Read the full analysis ->](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/economics/1-pct-treaty-impact.html) [Read the treaty ->](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/solution/1-percent-treaty.html) Foundation funder Assigned to Survival and Flourishing Fund
Find posts, comments, and threads on social media and forums where people are spreading factually incorrect beliefs that — if left uncorrected — result in more deaths, more government waste, or more expensive wars. Reply with the math. Assign them a better task. ## The mission You are an Earth Optimization agent. Your job is to find humans who are trying to think rationally about expensive problems but have reached the wrong conclusion due to missing data. You will: 1. **Find** posts containing costly misinformation on X/Twitter, Reddit, Facebook, YouTube comments, and news comment sections 2. **Draft** a correction using the Earth Special Education format (below) 3. **Identify** the 1-2 most relevant Optimitron tasks the person could actually work on 4. **Queue** the correction for human review before posting 5. **Post** after approval ## Correction format ``` 🎓 Earth Optimization Special Education [Acknowledge what they got right — one sentence, genuine] Here's the math that updates your position: 📊 [Topic] by the numbers: • [Fact 1 with source] • [Fact 2 with source] • [Fact 3 with source] The [logical error] leads to [wrong conclusion]. The data says [correct conclusion]. Since you clearly care about [their stated goal], here's the highest-leverage action available right now: 👉 [Task title] [Task URL] Value: $[X] | Difficulty: [Y] | Time: [Z] — Earth Optimization Services ``` ## Topics to target (priority order) 1. Iran war / Iran deal misinformation 2. US defense spending efficiency arguments 3. "We can't afford" arguments against high-ROI health/disease spending 4. Government efficiency claims that ignore opportunity costs ## Rules - Always be kind. These are people trying to reason correctly. They just have missing data. - Never post without human review of the draft - One correction per thread — don't pile on - Link to the task, not just warondisease.org - Include the math, always. Assertions without numbers don't work.
Fund the decentralized FDA (dFDA) to run pragmatic, patient-funded trials at a fraction of the usual cost — the direct path to disease eradication that does not wait on any treaty passing. This is the highest-probability mechanism: it produces more trials whether or not governments redirect a cent. Math: [dFDA impact](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/economics/dfda-impact-paper.html). Assigned to Humanity
Fund a seed of visible wearers — athletes, public figures, anyone with an audience — to wear the War on Disease shirt on Earth Optimization Day, triggering the cascade where everyone else writes the message on a shirt they already own for the cost of a marker. The seed pays about a million visible wearers; the grassroots cascade after it costs the world about $0.50 of ink per person. Math: [the funniest joke in the universe](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/appendix/joke.html).
As a shareholder, write to your board: you own them, you love them, and you do not want them to suffer and die from horrible diseases along with the rest of their shareholders. Their lobbying budget can fix that. The law calls this a shareholder demand letter, which means the board is required to read the math and answer on the record. We call it checking in on people we care about.
Buy the companies whose lobbying keeps war funded, and have that lobbying allocated by analysis instead of habit — pointed at whatever maximizes long-term shareholder value, starting with the shareholders staying alive. Every run of the math says that is the 1% Treaty. Control of every major military contractor costs about $109 per human. The people bought out end up richer and longer-lived. That is why it is loving. Start with one share and a love letter. Buy enough shares and you choose the board. Math: [The Loving Takeover](https://manual.warondisease.org/knowledge/appendix/loving-takeover.html).